Bank of Ireland is issuing the following trading update before its close period for the half year ended 30 September 2005.
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS):
The half-year to 30 September 2005 is the first time we will report under IFRS.
To enable effective comparison to be made, our expected results to 30 September
2005 are compared against pro-forma results for the six months to 30 September
2004 under IFRS as contained in the Transition Document. The following information
accompanies this statement:
Overview:
Bank of Ireland Group has continued to perform strongly in the half year to
30 September 2005. Highlights of our interim results are expected to feature
continuing strong growth in our Irish franchise and positive progress towards
our growth objectives in our UK and international businesses. We have also made
significant progress in the initial phase of our Strategic Transformation Programme
announced in March 2005. The positive performance for the six months has taken
place against generally favourable economic conditions and also reflects excellent
asset quality.
We expect basic earnings per share (EPS) to grow by close to 30%. Our results for the six months to end September 2004 included exceptional gains totalling €38 million. In the half-year to end September 2005 our results will include a gain on the disposal of our interest in the Bristol & West branch network (£120 million) together with implementation costs associated with our Strategic Transformation Programme. Excluding the effect of these items from both periods, together with any volatility that might arise under IFRS in relation to hedge ineffectiveness, we expect underlying EPS to grow by circa 9%.
Commenting on the Trading Update Brian Goggin Group CEO said:
'We expect a strong Group performance for the half year. The continuing
strength of our Irish businesses, together with the emerging benefits of investment
in the UK, and niche international businesses focused on high growth sectors,
and the delivery of the Strategic Transformation Programme, provides us with
a foundation for sustained growth.'
(The pro-forma results reflect the impact of EIR and insurance accounting,
and do not reflect the impact of accounting for derivatives and loan impairment.)
Retail Financial Services Ireland:
The Irish economic environment continues to be very favourable with GDP growth
this year expected to be circa 5%. Our Retail Financial Services business is
building on excellent momentum with strong volume and profit growth across the
division. Profit before tax is expected to grow by circa 16%. Our leading distribution
position, well-established relationship management approach to personal and
business customers coupled with a strong and responsible sales culture are the
main drivers underpinning this performance. Strong growth in volumes in key
product areas underlines the attractiveness of our customer proposition. Loans
to customers are expected to grow by circa 23% compared to the same period last
year with mortgages and business banking up by circa 26% and 24% respectively.
Resources are expected to increase by circa 13%.
Bank of Ireland Life:
Our Life business continues to grow underpinned by strong product demand and
rising investment markets. The environment for the Life business is particularly
positive with favourable demographics and rising prosperity contributing to
a significant rise in new business sales, which are expected to grow by circa
20% for the six months to 30 September 2005 compared with the same period last
year. While the transition to IFRS is making reporting of financial performance
for this business more complex, operating profits (before policy-holder tax
gross-up, investment variance and discount rate change) are expected to increase
by circa 30% driven by strong sales growth and tight cost control.
Wholesale Financial Services:
Profit before tax in Wholesale Financial Services is expected to grow by circa
10%, a strong performance as the core businesses in this division invest for
future growth. In Corporate Banking loans to customers are expected to increase
by circa 22%, compared to the same period last year, while the new business
pipeline remains buoyant. We are successfully building an international growth
platform with a network of specialist teams focusing on niche opportunities
in high growth sectors. We are also maintaining excellent asset quality. Our
Global Markets business is also adding specialist teams in key markets and we
are increasingly adding value for our customers through integrated banking and
risk management propositions through Global Markets, Corporate Banking, Business
Banking and our UK Financial Services operations. The other businesses within
the division are expected to perform strongly.
UK Financial Services (in local currency):
The results to end September 2004 included the benefit of a technical loan loss
provision release of £10 million, and excluding the benefit of this we
expect the profit before tax outturn to September 2005 to be broadly in line
with last year.
We concluded the sale of the Bristol & West branch network on 21 September 2005 for a consideration of £150 million. The branch network is expected to incur a small loss in the six months to end September 2005.
We now have a tighter business portfolio in the UK, focused on growing in key market segments. Personal Lending UK is a well-established mortgage business focusing on higher margin specialist sectors. The mortgage book is expected to grow by circa 14% with excellent asset quality being maintained. The mortgage business in the UK is expected to deliver profit growth of circa 10% in the half year to September 2005 compared with the same period last year.
Excluding the benefit of the technical loan loss provision release in the corresponding period last year, we expect business banking profits to be flat, where strong growth in lending volumes of circa 30% compared to the same period last year are offset by the investment in strengthening our Business Banking team, which is nearing its conclusion.
Tight cost control is being maintained with the Business Improvement Programme on target to deliver its objectives for the current year.
UK Post Office Financial Services (UKPOFS):
Performance of UKPOFS, which is progressing well through its development phase,
is in line with expectations. We are on track to achieve our customer recruitment
target of 400,000 by year-end and we continue to add to the product portfolio.
Asset Management Services:
Asset Management Services (AMS) comprises Bank of Ireland Asset Management (BIAM),
Bank of Ireland Securities Services (BOISS) and Iridian. Investment performance
in international equities continues to be an issue for BIAM where we expect
assets under management (AUM) to be circa €43 billion at the end of September
2005 i.e. circa €4 billion lower than at end March 2005. As a consequence
of BIAM's expected profit performance we expect AMS's profit before
tax to be €20 million lower than the same period last year. BIAM's
focus remains on improving its investment performance, strengthening its investment
team and reducing its cost base. The other businesses in this division are expected
to perform well in the period and the division continues to explore opportunities
to utilise its expertise and distribution capability.
Group:
Total Group income in the six months to end September 2005 is expected to grow
by circa 6% driven by strong volume growth partly offset by lower net interest
margins. We expect the Group net interest margin to narrow by high teens basis
points in line with our guidance to the market in May 2005. The key drivers
behind this reduction are the continuation of the change in balance sheet funding
mix to accommodate the growth in assets, together with the low interest rate
environment, and to a lesser extent back-book re-pricing in the UK. Total costs
are expected to grow by circa 5%.
Asset quality remains excellent and we expect a reduction in non-performing loans over March 2005. The loan loss charge as a percentage of average loans is expected to be circa 11 basis points for the half year to September 2005.
Strategic Transformation Programme:
Our growth-focused Strategic Transformation Programme is progressing well and
we are on target to achieve savings of €30 million in the current year
under the Programme.
Contact Details:
John O'Donovan Group Chief Financial Officer +353 1 632 2054
Frank Ryan Group Financial Controller +353 1 604 3503
Geraldine Deighan Head of Group Investor Relations +353 1 604 3501
Dan Loughrey Head of Group Corporate Communications +353 1 604 3833
This statement contains certain forward-looking statements as defined in the
US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 with respect to certain
of the Group's plans and its current goals and expectations relating to its
future financial condition and performance and the markets in which it operates.
Because such statements are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, actual
results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking
statements. Such risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to risks
and uncertainties relating to profitability targets, prevailing interest rates,
the performance of the Irish and UK economies and the international capital
markets, the Group's ability to expand certain of its activities, competition,
the Group's ability to address information technology issues and the availability
of funding sources. The Bank of Ireland Group does not undertake to release
publicly any revision to these forward-looking statements to reflect events,
circumstances or unanticipated events occurring after the date hereof.